Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)


	Hubert Hurkacz		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.48	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.79
	1.5	2.79
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.68	Watch
	1.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
65.2%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	0%	32%

Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bautista-Agut is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Hurkacz to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
07.04.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Christian Garin - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Jan Choinski - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1
ATP Cup
07.01.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Cologne
16.10.20	Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

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