Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Antwerp (Belgium), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.14	1.69	Watch
	2.21	1.74
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.69	Watch
	2.14	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.74)	1.71 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
44.2%

Mariano Navone
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Hugo Gaston - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Navone will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 77. Navone is ranked ATP: 43.

Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Navone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Antwerp
15.10.24	Alexey Vatutin - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
23.09.24	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Antwerp
14.10.24	Thiago Monteiro - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Mariano Navone - Daniel Evans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Hugo Gaston - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide