What is the expert prediction for Hugo Gaston vs Mariano Navone?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hugo Gaston vs Mariano Navone. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hugo Gaston vs Mariano Navone Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, October 16, 2024)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Antwerp (Belgium), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.14	1.69	Watch
	2.21	1.74
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.69	Watch
	2.14	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.74)	1.71 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
44.2%

Mariano Navone
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Navone will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 77. Navone is ranked ATP: 43.

Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Navone will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Antwerp
15.10.24	Alexey Vatutin - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Jaume Munar - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
23.09.24	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Antwerp
14.10.24	Thiago Monteiro - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Kei Nishikori - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Mariano Navone - Daniel Evans	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Stefanos Tsitsipas	✺
- Mariano Navone
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Mariano Navone - Flavio Cobolli	✺