Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Hugo Grenier		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.56	2.47
	1.51	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
61.2%

Rio Noguchi
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Hugo Grenier - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Noguchi will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 175. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 254.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grenier is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Moerani Bouzige - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Charles Chen - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Jason Kubler - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	Grenier H. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Rio Noguchi - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW

Hugo Grenier - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide