Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Igor Marcondes		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.38	1.63
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igor Marcondes
42.2%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-2%)

Igor Marcondes - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marcondes is ranked ATP: 307. Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 633.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Moreno De Alboran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Moreno De Alboran will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcondes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igor Marcondes
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Jaime Faria - Igor Marcondes	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Igor Marcondes - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Franco Ribero - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Victor Braga - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.01.22	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Igor Marcondes	1:2

Igor Marcondes - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide