Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Jack Draper		Jenson Brooksby

	1	2
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.25	Watch
	1.2	4.35	Watch
	1.23	4.55
	1.2	4.46	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.54	Watch
	1.2	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	4.44 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
78.7%

Jenson Brooksby
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Draper's performance.

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenson Brooksby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Draper that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenson Brooksby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jack Draper - Jenson Brooksby Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 14. Brooksby is ranked ATP: 937.

Draper is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Brooksby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.25	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jenson Brooksby - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Jenson Brooksby - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Jenson Brooksby - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
04.02.25	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Antwerp
17.10.22	Jack Draper - Jenson Brooksby	2:0
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.22	Jenson Brooksby - Jack Draper	0:2

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