Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Jack Draper		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.54	2.5
	1.58	2.5
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	2.51 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
62.1%

Joao Fonseca
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 14. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80.

Draper is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonseca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Draper will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Doha
22.02.25	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Laslo Djere - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide