Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Nicolas Jarry		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.87
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
49.7%

Jaime Faria
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Nicolas Jarry - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Faria will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 155. Faria is ranked ATP: 142.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Jarry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jarry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Jarry - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.63%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas	Damas M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWW?
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Jaime Faria - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Emilio Nava - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Jaime Faria - Nicolas Jarry	2:1

Nicolas Jarry - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide