Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Jakub Mensik		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.41
	1.01	16.23	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.32	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.22)	5.31 ↑ (4.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
80.7%

Alexei Popyrin
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 13. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 47.

Mensik is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Popyrin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Mubarak Shannan Zayid - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
21.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	0:2
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0

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