Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.74	2.06	Watch
	2.85	1.40	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.76	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.71)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
48.8%

Kamil Majchrzak
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexei Popyrin's form might have worsened.

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamil Majchrzak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamil Majchrzak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	0%	93.1%

Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Popyrin (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 24 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kamil Majchrzak will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kamil Majchrzak will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Majchrzak (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 53. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 56.

Popyrin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Majchrzak has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Mubarak Shannan Zayid - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alexandre Muller	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Arthur Fils - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Fabian Marozsan	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
08.05.21	Kamil Majchrzak - Alexei Popyrin	2:1
ATP Challenger
13.02.18	Kamil Majchrzak - Alexei Popyrin	Majchrzak K. retired

Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide