Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Court Suzanne-Lenglen (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jakub Mensik		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.76
	2.12	1.82
	2.03	1.82	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.1	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.16)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
46%

Andrey Rublev
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrey Rublev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Jakub Mensik - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 12 - 24%). Rublev will win (votes: 38 - 76%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Rublev (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrey Rublev will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 27. Rublev is ranked ATP: 13.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Mensik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55.58%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Mariano Navone - Jakub Mensik	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Titouan Droguet - Jakub Mensik	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Nuno Borges - Andrey Rublev	0:3 ✺
27.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	1:2
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	0:2

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