Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2


	Jakub Mensik		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.42	3.1
	1.4	3.04	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.39	3.03	Watch
	1.39	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	3.08 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
69%

Chun Hsin Tseng
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chun Hsin Tseng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chun Hsin Tseng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Jakub Mensik - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tseng could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mensik is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
16.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Guido Andreozzi - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Deni Zmak - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
13.07.24	Filip Krajinovic - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Chun Hsin Tseng	Tseng C. H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWL?

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