Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday


	Luca Nardi		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.7	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.31
	3.54	1.28	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	4.9	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5)	1.26 ↑ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
24.4%

Denis Shapovalov
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

81.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Nardi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 98. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.

Nardi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shapovalov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shapovalov is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Luca Nardi - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Luca Nardi - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	Luca Nardi - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Govind Nanda - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide