Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ...


	Jakub Vrba		Alex Marti Pujolras

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Jakub Vrba
32%

Alex Marti Pujolras
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Vrba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alex Marti Pujolras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Vrba than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Marti Pujolras than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Vrba is ranked ATP: 1111., and Marti Pujolras is ranked ATP: 499..

Vrba is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Marti Pujolras has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vrba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Marti Pujolras for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Vrba
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Jakub Vrba - Daniel Siniakov	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Jakub Vrba	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.09.26	Dragos Nicolae Cazacu - Jakub Vrba	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Jakub Vrba - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Blaise Bicknell - Jakub Vrba	Bicknell B. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWLL?
- Alex Marti Pujolras
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Kai Wehnelt	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Ignacio Parisca - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Nico Hipfl - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Marti Pujolras
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Sandro Kopp	✺

Jakub Vrba - Alex Marti Pujolras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide