Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Qian Daohu, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 13 October 2026, Tuesday
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Jamie Mackenzie |
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jamie Mackenzie 50% | Luca Castelnuovo 50% |
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:The chances for Jamie Mackenzie have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Luca Castelnuovo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jamie Mackenzie that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 609., and Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 455..Mackenzie is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Castelnuovo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).Mackenzie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;