Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Pavel Kotov

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Luca Castelnuovo
28.7%

Pavel Kotov
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Castelnuovo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 376., and Kotov is ranked ATP: 188..

In recent outings, Castelnuovo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kotov shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Castelnuovo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kotov carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Elias Ymer - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. Retired ✺
12.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ji Sung Nam - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 L?LWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Luca Castelnuovo - Pavel Kotov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide