Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: Centre Court (London)


	Fabio Fognini		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	51	1	Watch
	18.5	1.01
	19	1	Watch
			Watch
	34	1.01
	28	1.01	Watch
	19	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	28.25 ↑ (26)	1.01 (1.01)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
3.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
96.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.7%

96.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Fabio Fognini - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 130. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

Fognini is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fognini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fognini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Mallorca
22.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Christopher Eubanks	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Fabio Fognini - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP London
22.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:1
19.02.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Fabio Fognini	2:0

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