Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Strasbourg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Jaqueline Adina Cristian		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.66
	2.37	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.32	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.11)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaqueline Adina Cristian
41.2%

Darya Kasatkina
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaqueline Adina Cristian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaqueline Adina Cristian than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cristian will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cristian is ranked WTA: 33. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 62.

Recent performances by Cristian have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kasatkina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kasatkina might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kasatkina will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cristian won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jaqueline Adina Cristian - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Strasbourg
20.05.26	Clara Tauson - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	McCartney Kessler - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Karolina Pliskova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Beatriz Haddad Maia	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWL?L
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Peyton Stearns - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Valentina Steiner - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	0:2
WTA US Open
26.08.24	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Charleston
05.04.24	Darya Kasatkina - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1
WTA Doha
22.02.22	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Darya Kasatkina	Cristian J. A. retired

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