Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Miami 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jay Clarke		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.37
	2.99	1.42
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
35.4%

Shintaro Mochizuki
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shintaro Mochizuki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 184. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Maik Steiner - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Masamichi Imamura - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2

Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki