Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Jenson Brooksby		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.75	2.19
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
56.5%

Alexei Popyrin
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Popyrin will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brooksby: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Brooksby (votes: 6 - 60%). Popyrin (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 41. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 45.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Jenson Brooksby - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Zizou Bergs - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Mubarak Shannan Zayid - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide