Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Jenson Brooksby		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.78	1.5
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.73	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (1.78)	1.48 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
35.1%

Emilio Nava
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jenson Brooksby's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenson Brooksby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Jenson Brooksby - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Nava will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 61. Nava is ranked ATP: 116.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Brooksby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nava could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.41%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Zizou Bergs - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Emilio Nava - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Emilio Nava - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Emilio Nava - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	David Goffin - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Jenson Brooksby - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide