Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Jesper De Jong		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.76	Watch
	2.18	1.77
	2.26	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
44.6%

Nuno Borges
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jesper De Jong - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuno Borges will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nuno Borges will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 102. Borges is ranked ATP: 52.

De Jong is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Borges has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.52%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Hugo Dellien - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Jesper De Jong - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide