Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.72	1.51
	2.61	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.62)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
36%

Jesper De Jong
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 232. De Jong is ranked ATP: 109.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.39%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Cadenasso	Canceled ✺
22.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Barrena - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WW?LW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Gianluca Cadenasso - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide