Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Jessica Pegula		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.5
	1.64	2.42
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.59	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	2.47 ↓ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
61.3%

Belinda Bencic
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Bencic will win (votes: 19 - 79.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 63% – 95.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bencic (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belinda Bencic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Bencic (votes: 10 - 90.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Bencic is ranked WTA: 12.

Pegula has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bencic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Pegula will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessica Pegula - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Jessica Pegula - Rebecca Sramkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.26	Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WW?WW
- Belinda Bencic
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Storm Hunter - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Sara Bejlek	Bencic B. walkover ✺
16.02.26	Belinda Bencic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
09.04.23	Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA US Open
04.09.21	Belinda Bencic - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Olympic Games
24.07.21	Belinda Bencic - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Hertogenbosch
09.06.15	Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic	0:2

Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide