Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1, Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 8
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Jessica Pegula		Iga Swiatek

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	3.00	1.40
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	3.06	1.43
	2.97	1.42	Watch
	3.00	1.42
	3.06	1.43	Watch
	3.00	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
32%

Iga Swiatek
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Pegula (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 18.5 Games - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 50%). Swiatek (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 3. Swiatek is ranked WTA: 5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 2.

Pegula is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Swiatek is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Swiatek is considered a favorite.

We predict that Swiatek will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Iga Swiatek - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Cincinnati
20.08.26	Amanda Anisimova - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Sorana Cirstea - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Emma Navarro - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Simona Waltert - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL
- Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati
20.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	Rybakina E. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
13.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
13.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Bad Homburg
28.06.25	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:0
WTA Finals
07.11.24	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	Canceled
WTA US Open
04.09.24	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Finals
06.11.23	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Montreal
12.08.23	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA Doha
18.02.23	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	2:0

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