Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Jiri Lehecka		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	2.98
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
66.7%

Alex Michelsen
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 14. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 37.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lehecka is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lehecka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Jiri Lehecka - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Jiri Lehecka	3:1

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