Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Jiri Lehecka		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.73	2.33
	1.64	2.25	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.59	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
57.6%

Alejandro Tabilo
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 14. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 43.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lehecka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Jiri Lehecka - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.1%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1
ATP Munich
24.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Jiri Lehecka	0:2

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