Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV5


	Jiri Lehecka		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.68	2.18
	1.67	2.2
	1.68	2.32
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.24	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.22 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
57.1%

Matteo Arnaldi
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	0%	23.3%

Jiri Lehecka - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lehecka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lehecka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Umag
27.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Daniil Medvedev - Jiri Lehecka	Lehecka J. retired ✺
08.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
06.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Jiri Lehecka	0:3 ✺
05.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 W?WWW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Umag
26.07.23	Flavio Cobolli - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
25.07.23	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
10.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jiri Lehecka	0:3

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