Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jiri Lehecka		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.50	2.55
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.52	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
63.6%

Valentin Vacherot
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Jiri Lehecka - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vacherot will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 23., and Vacherot is ranked ATP: 18..

Lehecka has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vacherot is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vacherot may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lehecka holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lehecka in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lehecka has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Tokyo
04.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Ugo Humbert - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Tokyo
04.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
28.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Jiri Lehecka	2:0

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