Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Joao Fonseca		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.72	Watch
	2.25	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.77
	2.11	1.76
	2.15	1.75
	2.28	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.01)	1.72 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
44.4%

Ben Shelton
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 27. Shelton is ranked ATP: 10.

Now, both players are in good form.

Fonseca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fonseca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Casper Ruud - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
18.07.26	Joao Fonseca - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Joao Fonseca - Nick Kyrgios	0:3 ✺
17.07.26	Joao Fonseca - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Martin Damm - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
17.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	1:2

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