Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Elmer Moller

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.42
	2.76	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
33.2%

Elmer Moller
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Moller will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 202. Moller is ranked ATP: 153.

Reis Da Silva has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moller has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moller will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Clement Tabur	Reis Da Silva J. Retired ✺
18.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jack Kennedy	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 W?WWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Nerman Fatic - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Elmer Moller - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
22.04.26	Elmer Moller - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLL?W

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