Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Jannik Sinner		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.01	29	Watch
	1.01	15.5
	1.02	36.52
	1.01	16.07	Watch
	1.01	21
	1	29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	24.52 ↑ (19.62)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
96%

Elmer Moller
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

95.1%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jannik Sinner - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moller will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Moller is ranked ATP: 169.

Sinner has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moller is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
22.04.26	Elmer Moller - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 ?WWWL

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