Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Elmer Moller		Federico Cina

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.64	2.49
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	2.4 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
59.9%

Federico Cina
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elmer Moller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Cina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Elmer Moller - Federico Cina Predictions

Users Predictions: Elmer Moller will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 169. Cina is ranked ATP: 205.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Elmer Moller - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.26	Elmer Moller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLW
- Federico Cina
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Federico Cina - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Federico Cina - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Federico Cina - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LLLW

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