Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Joao Sousa		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.94
	1.27	3.94
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.66	Watch
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	3.66 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
74.3%

Lorenzo Giustino
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Sousa's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Joao Sousa - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Sousa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sousa is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
09.01.24	Joao Sousa - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
05.01.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Paul Jubb - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
02.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Joao Sousa - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
09.01.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
04.01.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
27.11.23	Gerard Campana Lee - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Joao Sousa - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide