Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	2.05
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	2 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
53.4%

Chun Hsin Tseng
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Chun Hsin Tseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chun Hsin Tseng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chun Hsin Tseng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Joel Schwaerzler - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 173. Tseng is ranked ATP: 159.

Schwaerzler has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tseng is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Gastao Elias - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWW?
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
30.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0

Joel Schwaerzler - Chun Hsin Tseng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide