Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Chun Hsin Tseng		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.35	Watch
	3.38	1.36
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chun Hsin Tseng
28.9%

Sebastian Baez
71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chun Hsin Tseng have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sebastian Baez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Chun Hsin Tseng - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tseng will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Baez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tseng is ranked ATP: 144. Baez is ranked ATP: 53.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Baez is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tseng won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Santiago
28.02.26	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Christian Garin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Jaime Faria - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Carlos Taberner - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0
ATP Challenger
24.11.20	Sebastian Baez - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2
Boys Singles French Open
09.06.18	Sebastian Baez - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2

Chun Hsin Tseng - Sebastian Baez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide