Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Joel Schwaerzler		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.47
	2.74	1.5
	2.53	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.54	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.32)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
37.1%

Roman Safiullin
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Safiullin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 169. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 142.

Recent performances by Schwaerzler have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Safiullin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Safiullin could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Mark Lajal - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Roman Safiullin - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Henrique Rocha - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Jaime Faria - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin	2:0

Joel Schwaerzler - Roman Safiullin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide