Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Harry Wendelken

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.70
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
45.7%

Harry Wendelken
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joel Schwaerzler - Harry Wendelken Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Wendelken will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 50%). Wendelken (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 185., and Wendelken is ranked ATP: 178..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Maxime Chazal - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Luca Potenza - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Max Basing - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Filippo Romano - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Remy Bertola - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Joel Schwaerzler - Harry Wendelken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide