Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.68
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
42%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Joel Schwaerzler - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gueymard Wayenburg will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 185., and Gueymard Wayenburg is ranked ATP: 218..

Schwaerzler has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gueymard Wayenburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gueymard Wayenburg in today's match, at odds of 1.69.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.72%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Lucas Poullain - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Maxime Chazal - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Luca Potenza - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Clement Tabur - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	Canceled ✺
20.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWW?W

Joel Schwaerzler - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide