Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.87	1.92
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.96)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
52.1%

Joel Schwaerzler
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Pinnington Jones's performance.

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Jack Pinnington Jones - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 205., and Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 176..

In recent outings, Pinnington Jones has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Schwaerzler shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Pinnington Jones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Schwaerzler in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.97%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Dino Prizmic - Jack Pinnington Jones	Canceled ✺
28.09.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jack Pinnington Jones	Pinnington Jones J. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Michele Ribecai - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?L?W
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Felix Balshaw - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Lucas Poullain - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

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