Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Potenza		Joel Schwaerzler

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Luca Potenza
24.1%

Joel Schwaerzler
75.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Potenza is ranked ATP: 488. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 171.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Schwaerzler is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Luca Potenza - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Luca Potenza - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Alec Deckers - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Aryan Shah - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Max Basing - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Luca Potenza - Joel Schwaerzler