Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Maxime Chazal		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.33
	2.90	1.38	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	2.94	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
30.9%

Joel Schwaerzler
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maxime Chazal - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 433., and Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 179..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Schwaerzler could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Schwaerzler holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Alex Barrena - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Maxime Chazal - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Luca Potenza - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Max Basing - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

Maxime Chazal - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide