Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Joel Schwaerzler		Kenta Miyoshi

	1	2
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.78
	2.03	1.83
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.01	1.80
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.56)	1.78 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
47.4%

Kenta Miyoshi
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Kenta Miyoshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kenta Miyoshi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenta Miyoshi than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kenta Miyoshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 150. Miyoshi is ranked ATP: 495.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Miyoshi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schwaerzler might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Kenta Miyoshi
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide