Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 4 March 2026, Wednesday
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Joel Schwaerzler |
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Zdenek Kolar |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joel Schwaerzler
53.2% | Zdenek Kolar
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+3%)Joel Schwaerzler - Zdenek Kolar Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kolar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 214. Kolar is ranked ATP: 197.Schwaerzler is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Kolar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Schwaerzler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schwaerzler won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 25.02.25 | Zdenek Kolar - Joel Schwaerzler | 0:2 |
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