Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - Final

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.05	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.41
	3.05	1.36
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
29.8%

Zsombor Piros
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joel Schwaerzler's form might have worsened.

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zsombor Piros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Joel Schwaerzler - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Piros will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 242. Piros is ranked ATP: 180.

Schwaerzler is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Piros is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Piros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Piros might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Piros will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Matej Dodig - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Petr Brunclik - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Maxim Mrva - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Henri Squire - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Ethan Quinn	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWW?

Joel Schwaerzler - Zsombor Piros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide