Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Gabriel Diallo		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.56	2.58
	1.51	2.52	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.49	2.64	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
61.1%

Marcos Giron
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Gabriel Diallo - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Giron will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Diallo (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriel Diallo will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Giron (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 54. Giron is ranked ATP: 45.

Diallo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giron is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWW?
- Marcos Giron
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Jack Draper - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
10.02.25	Marcos Giron - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled

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