Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Brandon Nakashima		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.42	1.65
	2.27	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.32	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	1.64 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
41.8%

Alexander Blockx
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Blockx's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Blockx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Blockx will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blockx: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32. Blockx is ranked ATP: 69.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Blockx - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.98%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LW?LW
- Alexander Blockx
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	2:1
ATP Challenger
18.11.23	Alexander Blockx - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide