Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Morocco	2M National
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Kamil Majchrzak		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.59	Watch
	2.33	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.1)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamil Majchrzak
40.2%

Fabian Marozsan
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	0%	82.9%

Kamil Majchrzak - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 41 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Marozsan (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fabian Marozsan will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Majchrzak (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Marozsan (votes: 23 - 82.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 59. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 47.

In recent matches, Majchrzak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marozsan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marozsan could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Marozsan will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Fabian Marozsan - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW

Kamil Majchrzak - Fabian Marozsan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide