Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:50	HBO Max
Bulgaria	19:50	HBO Max
Croatia	18:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	18:50	HBO Max
Denmark	18:50	HBO Max
Finland	19:50	HBO Max
France	18:50	HBO Max
Hungary	18:50	HBO Max
Moldova	19:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	18:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	18:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	18:50	HBO Max
Norway	18:50	HBO Max
Poland	18:50	HBO Max
Romania	19:50	HBO Max
Serbia	18:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	18:50	HBO Max
Spain	18:50	HBO Max
Sweden	18:50	HBO Max


	Leandro Riedi		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.5
	2.72	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.79	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.03)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro Riedi
34.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
65.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Riedi will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leandro Riedi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Riedi is ranked ATP: 435. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19.

Riedi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerundolo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Otto Virtanen - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Luka Pavlovic - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Learner Tien - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
31.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Jaume Munar - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 W?WWL

Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Preview

Form

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