What is the expert prediction for Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Shevchenko?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Shevchenko. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Shevchenko Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 08, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Karen Khachanov		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.43	3.13
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.54)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
68%

Alexander Shevchenko
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karen Khachanov's form might have worsened.

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Shevchenko's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 15. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 85.

Khachanov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shevchenko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Jaume Munar - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Metz
09.11.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	2:0

Karen Khachanov - Alexander Shevchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide