Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Karen Khachanov		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.43	3.13
	1.4	2.97	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.54)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
68%

Alexander Shevchenko
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karen Khachanov's form might have worsened.

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Shevchenko's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Karen Khachanov - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 15. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 85.

Khachanov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shevchenko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khachanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Khachanov is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Jaume Munar - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Metz
09.11.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	2:0

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