Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Karen Khachanov		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.34	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.41
	1.35	3.34	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.37	Watch
	1.34	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	3.24 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
70.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Karen Khachanov - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Karen Khachanov will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 53.

Khachanov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Khachanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Khachanov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Beijing
24.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
19.09.24	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

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